Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 337.441909 384.669666 437.942461 502.844218 580.260530 670.248503 783.645029
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 274.381226 336.888202 414.427487 519.175469 659.317218 843.786007 1110.913745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 235.711231 303.520293 393.018266 522.659864 710.636115 981.591723 1418.101298
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 204.926374 273.387003 368.062202 512.787411 736.448836 1083.691924 1696.149689
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 185.056492 254.481708 354.448432 514.700452 777.036585 1213.369955 2052.918777
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 165.826350 233.630152 334.491941 502.600202 791.365222 1300.828906 2359.404659
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 151.994780 218.943187 321.565099 498.952649 817.938856 1413.939354 2751.439771
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 135.929897 199.056841 298.017617 473.864043 801.418479 1441.568264 2970.002486
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 130.859367 195.788419 300.611671 493.821054 871.207213 1655.722699 3700.324460
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 127.720841 195.197008 307.374464 521.941111 962.031972 1938.432702 4738.425541
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 120.486693 187.082936 300.261688 522.924967 997.188067 2104.861290 5538.839627
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 111.604905 175.403097 285.674363 507.403706 993.874183 2177.606265 6089.589238
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 103.602092 164.785351 272.324937 493.334941 992.974881 2261.041084 6743.432040
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 100.382885 162.296084 273.652779 509.543069 1065.754081 2565.123778 8419.084699
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 95.846232 157.049032 269.233700 512.940334 1108.364445 2799.001200 10011.995987
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.219163 149.376131 259.428344 503.296949 1116.239976 2931.520183 11272.804796
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.382390 144.710828 255.054004 505.165713 1154.674414 3175.655037 13333.505862
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 81.438775 137.620938 245.237052 493.344806 1153.802711 3288.550016 14809.799996
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 77.732404 132.629361 239.250746 489.781133 1175.611856 3491.250364 17084.302535
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 72.304066 124.001226 225.152699 465.265286 1132.595511 3440.233082 17639.931379
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 71.349377 123.982814 228.943508 484.767287 1224.478345 3950.165479 23040.631691
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 71.063735 125.245472 235.539629 512.238428 1348.256131 4659.707786 31747.753164
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 68.584785 121.952008 232.003182 513.199419 1387.164486 5017.372057 38069.187362